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Exact model

The ace of spades from a deck

Probability:
1.92%
Odds:
1 to 51
dBan
−17.1 dBan

Only one card can reveal the ace of spades, so a single draw finds it once in 52 on average.

Calculation

p = 1 matching card / 52 cards = 1/52

Assumptions

A well-shuffled standard 52-card deck gives every card the same chance.

Sources

  1. Standard-deck model

Explore on the scale

  • An ace from a standard deck
  • Texas Hold’em: exactly one pair
  • Reproduce one specified deck order