Exact model

A chosen month has 31 days

Probability:
58.3%
Odds:
1.4 to 1
dBan
+1.5 dBan

Seven of the twelve months have 31 days. Four have 30 days, and February has 28 or 29.

Calculation

p = 7 months / 12 months = 7/12

Assumptions

Each of the twelve named months is equally likely to be chosen. Leap years do not change which months have 31 days.

Sources

  1. Uniform calendar-month model